Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.491133 0.575245 0.667270 0.775141 0.897820 1.032692 1.191874
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.368640 0.482746 0.619611 0.794575 1.010868 1.267966 1.595008
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.284208 0.410246 0.573856 0.798788 1.096514 1.473226 1.981433
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.216392 0.341522 0.515988 0.771797 1.131058 1.610465 2.289833
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.182974 0.311852 0.502801 0.798239 1.233819 1.840582 2.734801
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.155794 0.285180 0.487883 0.817120 1.324001 2.057248 3.175308
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.140643 0.274180 0.493831 0.865827 1.459982 2.347156 3.738790
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.118619 0.247026 0.469189 0.861896 1.512894 2.516277 4.135056
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.099449 0.221046 0.442075 0.849233 1.548513 2.659028 4.498324
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.084404 0.199789 0.419660 0.840768 1.588299 2.808709 4.879288
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.075061 0.188076 0.412723 0.858060 1.671814 3.032607 5.389807
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.066462 0.176193 0.403560 0.869637 1.745349 3.243706 5.890860
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.057980 0.163151 0.390748 0.873760 1.807599 3.443132 6.390818
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.051462 0.153377 0.383270 0.887395 1.888462 3.680136 6.969194
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044908 0.142057 0.370731 0.889138 1.946637 3.880718 7.496680
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.037140 0.125687 0.344297 0.858486 1.938814 3.961775 7.819476
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.034118 0.121598 0.345546 0.887093 2.050225 4.266583 8.555108
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030973 0.116412 0.343344 0.907637 2.146591 4.548736 9.264218
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029773 0.116845 0.355095 0.960915 2.314530 4.975240 10.257933
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.026029 0.108320 0.342671 0.956593 2.360465 5.170269 10.832660
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022407 0.099176 0.327084 0.942723 2.384249 5.322833 11.334519
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019456 0.091479 0.314100 0.933452 2.416774 5.493588 11.878030
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.017784 0.087994 0.312459 0.952383 2.513710 5.798745 12.694571